5:13So let’s talk about, excuse me, some failure modes. Excuse me a second. So why does manual reporting fail? And I’ve lived this myself. One is drift. And we’ll go over each of these in a little more detail. Dependency: who owns the workbook and the logic. Usually it lives... sometimes there’s one person. The assembly tax: that’s the effort. Irreproducibility: you can’t get back to the original numbers if the numbers are lost.
5:58And none is an effort problem. None is a competence problem. So let’s take a look at that. So, drift. If data changes over time, categories get renamed. Data is lost, drops off. It’s lost forever. So you can’t reproduce it if you don’t have it. And oftentimes then people are looking back in their archives to the best of their ability. What a reviewer will see is a trend line where the movement, the movement is measurement, not performance.
6:30So again, we want to look at performance over time, but you measure the differences. You want to measure whether or not there’s a downward trend, upward trend or an abrupt difference.
6:44Three years of data that can’t be compared to each other because you don’t have the same variables. And then again, nobody decides to change methodology. It changes because the person changes. I can’t tell you how many times I have heard this, where the person who is in charge, the data manager, is gone, and now the data is lost to the rest of the faculty. So dependency is really about one person being too much enmeshed in the process, the data memory, as it would be.
7:21So the single point of failure is that discontinuity at the point of transition. So if that person leaves, then you’ve lost those longitudinal data points that you need.
7:37The assembly tax. I think this is a really significant one to think about. Think about in your program who’s responsible for locating, formatting and combining, who’s responsible for all the tabulation of your data, taking raw data and translating it. And then what happens with the interpretation? Oftentimes there’s too much shuffling of data to try to make sense of it. You really need to be looking and interpreting and analyzing the data during these meetings, not trying to figure it out.
8:11So again, the number of hours really needs to be understood, because again, that’s workload. So what a reviewer might see is a ratio that’s upside down.
8:26You don’t want to describe the data. You want to analyze it. And I’m sure you’ve heard that before in our kinds of things. So the assembly tax is a big deal. And again, it speaks to a workload issue within programs. So what if it’s not reproducible? If the number was derived six months later or has been edited... One of the things I want to say to you, which is really important, is that there needs to be ongoing, continuous collection and analysis of data.
9:06It can’t be a retrospective gathering of data, which often happens because people don’t have enough resources to be able to do that. So to be able to do that means that you have the ability to look at micro trends, which is really important, in between the times when you usually look at data. So, kind of looking at it from a reviewer’s viewpoint: defensible-sounding numbers that cannot be defended.
9:35The difference between data and evidence. And then a number you cannot reproduce is an anecdote with a decimal point. So, latency. Latency means that the cohort has moved on. This is what I’m talking about: that in-between time frame when you’re not able to constantly analyze the data, and in particular when students are struggling. Think about this: if you’re not gathering data continuously, you’re not capturing student performance adequately and frequently enough.
10:11So improvement arrives really one cohort too late, because you’re looking back in time. And again, going back, you know, 20, 30 years, it was common to look at data once per year. And the quote I’m going to say is: if you learn about the PANCE problem from the PANCE report because you have a low pass rate, you should have already been doing that. So the PANCE report is simply a reproduction of what you’ve already analyzed.
10:40But unfortunately, that often happens. To be able to constantly do this, again, easier said than done. So, looking at this as a spreadsheet, as a document: what the program needs is a system. And what I want to talk about is a system of analysis, a system of documentation, to try to make sense of this.